Atlético Fútbol Club vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
44.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
CHI
20%
27%
53%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 0
AFC
62%
24%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 3
LLA
28%
30%
42%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ORS
1 - 0
AFC
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 1
BOG
25%
28%
47%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
LEO
30%
24%
47%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
CHI
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |