Atlético Fútbol Club vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
51.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 1
AFC
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 0
TFC
30%
28%
43%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 2
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 1
UNI
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
AFC
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
AME
46%
25%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
TFC
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 0
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |