Atlético Fútbol Club vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
COR
3 - 1
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 1
PER
36%
27%
36%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
RSC
2 - 1
AFC
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
RSC
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LLA
2 - 2
CAR
30%
28%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
REA
77%
15%
9%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
37%
25%
39%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
AME
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |