Atlético Fútbol Club vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
53.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PER
3 - 2
AFC
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 1
AME
22%
28%
50%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 2
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 3
BOG
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 0
AFC
68%
21%
12%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PAS
1 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
NAC
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
FOR
56%
26%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
EQU
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ENV
0 - 2
FOR
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |