Atlético Fútbol Club vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
AME
3 - 3
AFC
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
AFC
64%
22%
15%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 3
SFC
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 4
PAS
16%
23%
61%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 1
AME
13%
24%
63%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 2
COR
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 1
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
PER
2 - 2
FOR
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
TFC
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
BUC
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |