Atlético Fútbol Club vs Boca Juniors de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
9º
7º
22
7º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 23 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
RSC
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
CUC
13%
23%
64%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 2
AFC
58%
26%
17%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Boca Juniors de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BJC
1 - 0
RSC
25%
28%
47%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ORS
0 - 1
BJC
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
BJC
0 - 0
PAT
15%
27%
58%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
BJC
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BJC
0 - 0
REA
25%
27%
48%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |