Denzlingen vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denzlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
AST
3 - 1
DEN
75%
15%
9%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 5
KIR
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
DEN
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 4
BAL
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 1
DEN
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 2
WEI
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BON
0 - 1
FRE
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
NOT
1 - 2
FRE
65%
20%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
ILL
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 1
FRE
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |