Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Denizlispor vs Manisaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denizlispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SIV
2 - 0
DEN
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
4 - 1
DEN
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 2
GAL
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
TAR
1 - 2
DEN
26%
23%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
FEN
3 - 1
DEN
83%
12%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Manisaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
TRA
3 - 0
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
4 - 1
DEN
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 0
ANK
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ESK
1 - 0
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ANA
0 - 1
MAN
20%
22%
58%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |