UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 3-6
Denizlispor vs Celik Zenica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denizlispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
ČEL
1 - 0
DEN
66%
18%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2001 |
DEN
2 - 2
BJK
21%
22%
58%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
TRA
1 - 0
DEN
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
DEN
1 - 2
SII
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
DEN
2 - 3
GAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Celik Zenica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
ČEL
1 - 0
DEN
66%
18%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
ZEL
0 - 0
ČEL
60%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
ČEL
1 - 0
BRO
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2001 |
ČEL
4 - 1
TRO
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
ISK
1 - 1
ČEL
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |