Denizlispor vs Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denizlispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 0
DEN
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 1
PEN
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
1 - 0
DEN
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 2
GEN
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAK
2 - 1
DEN
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GUM
1 - 2
AYV
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AYV
0 - 1
KUS
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KIR
1 - 2
AYV
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
KOC
1 - 4
AYV
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AYV
1 - 1
ERG
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |