Denizli Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denizli Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
EYU
4 - 1
DEN
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 0
ALA
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
TUR
4 - 0
DEN
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 0
FET
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
DEN
4 - 1
146
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Kastamonuspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ARA
1 - 0
KAS
37%
28%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
KAS
2 - 1
YOG
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
BUL
1 - 1
KAS
21%
26%
53%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
KAS
0 - 1
UNY
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BAF
1 - 1
KAS
45%
25%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |