Dénia vs Villarreal B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ATB
0 - 1
DEN
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 0
UES
37%
29%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 1
GRA
38%
29%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PXD
1 - 1
DEN
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 0
BEN
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
LLE
0 - 0
VIL
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
ATB
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 0
UES
54%
25%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 1
VIL
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 1
PXD
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |