Dénia vs Castelldefels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
LLE
1 - 0
DEN
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
DEN
0 - 1
VIJ
33%
29%
38%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
GIR
4 - 0
DEN
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
ALG
0 - 1
DEN
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ALI
2 - 2
DEN
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Castelldefels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CAS
0 - 1
ALI
17%
26%
58%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
GAV
3 - 1
CAS
73%
16%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CAS
0 - 2
HOS
17%
25%
58%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
GRA
2 - 1
CAS
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 0
SAB
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +3 |