Dénia vs Sporting Mahonés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AND
2 - 0
DEN
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DEN
1 - 0
VAL
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 0
DEN
53%
26%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
DEN
1 - 2
UES
36%
30%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
GAN
0 - 1
DEN
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Mahonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MHN
0 - 1
REU
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MHN
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MHN
0 - 4
BAD
33%
29%
38%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MLL
0 - 0
MHN
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MHN
2 - 1
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |