Dénia vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+298%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NUC
1 - 1
DEN
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DEN
0 - 2
PED
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 3
DEN
44%
25%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DEN
2 - 2
CAL
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CTS
3 - 3
DEN
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PED
0 - 1
MUR
38%
25%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 2
MUR
28%
25%
47%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
GAN
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
JAV
1 - 1
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |