Dénia vs L´Hospitalet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 0
DEN
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
DEN
3 - 0
SAB
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
LEV
1 - 2
DEN
34%
27%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 0
VIL
44%
28%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
RCD
2 - 2
DEN
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
L´Hospitalet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
HOS
0 - 0
ALI
25%
29%
46%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
GAV
1 - 0
HOS
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
GIR
1 - 0
HOS
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
HOS
0 - 1
GRA
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SAB
3 - 0
HOS
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |