Dénia vs Univ. Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SFF
2 - 0
DEN
24%
24%
52%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
DEN
1 - 0
GAN
25%
22%
54%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NUC
0 - 1
DEN
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
DEN
1 - 4
IND
18%
21%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PEG
3 - 0
DEN
36%
25%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAL
45%
24%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
JAV
2 - 2
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
UNI
4 - 0
TAV
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
4 - 0
PED
69%
18%
14%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SFF
1 - 2
UNI
24%
25%
51%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |