Dénia vs Alginet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
BEN
5 - 3
DEN
37%
25%
37%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DEN
2 - 0
SDS
65%
22%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
DEN
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DEN
0 - 0
CTS
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 1
DEN
28%
26%
46%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 1
FCC
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TAV
0 - 2
ALG
20%
23%
56%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ALG
4 - 0
GAN
75%
17%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
JAV
1 - 1
ALG
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
UEG
1 - 3
ALG
26%
23%
50%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |