Dénia vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BAD
2 - 1
DEN
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 1
IBI
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
TER
1 - 1
DEN
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 1
ONT
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 2
DEN
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 1
ALI
39%
29%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
GAV
0 - 0
ALC
45%
26%
28%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 1
HOS
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALC
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 0
SAB
57%
25%
19%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |