FCV Dender vs VW Hamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
6 - 2
DEN
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DEN
1 - 0
OUD
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 1
DEN
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
DEN
2 - 1
GEE
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
COX
2 - 1
DEN
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
VW Hamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VWH
1 - 4
GEE
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
VWH
3 - 0
OOS
50%
23%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
SER
3 - 0
VWH
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VWH
1 - 1
HEI
31%
23%
47%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 2
VWH
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |