FCV Dender vs VW Hamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
DEN
1 - 0
LOM
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
RAC
0 - 1
DEN
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
DEN
6 - 0
RON
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 3
DEN
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
DEN
2 - 0
KVK
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
VW Hamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
DEI
3 - 2
VWH
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VWH
0 - 2
UNI
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TUB
0 - 0
VWH
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
VWH
0 - 0
LEU
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
VWH
1 - 1
LOM
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |