FCV Dender vs SL16 FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
3º
1º
28
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
DEN
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
KRC
0 - 4
DEN
53%
26%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 0
KRC
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
STL
1 - 1
DEN
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 0
DEI
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
STL
0 - 0
KRC
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
STL
1 - 2
DEI
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DEI
5 - 0
STL
57%
23%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
STL
1 - 1
DEN
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 0
STL
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |