FCV Dender vs Charleroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
14º
14º
13
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 57 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 49 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 49 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 49 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 40 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 39 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 38 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 31 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 30 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3% | 20% |
|
Next round
|
34% | 64% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
63% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GNK
4 - 0
DEN
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 2
SDL
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BEE
1 - 2
DEN
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 2
BRU
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 3
DEN
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AND
0 - 0
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 0
BEE
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KVM
5 - 2
CHA
53%
23%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
KVK
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
CHA
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |