FCV Dender vs RFC Seraing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SPR
1 - 2
DEN
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DEN
2 - 0
EXC
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GEE
2 - 4
DEN
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DEN
1 - 0
SPO
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 3
DEN
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
RFC Seraing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
SER
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
SPR
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BEE
2 - 1
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SER
0 - 2
GEE
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -3 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
OUD
3 - 2
SER
29%
24%
46%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |