FCV Dender vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
KVK
1 - 0
DEN
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
DEN
3 - 0
OOS
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
TIE
3 - 0
DEN
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
AND
5 - 2
DEN
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ANT
3 - 0
DEN
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
KVM
2 - 0
UNI
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
DEI
4 - 1
KVM
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
KVM
3 - 1
LEU
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
KVM
1 - 0
ZUL
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
KVM
1 - 0
VWH
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |