FCV Dender vs KVC Westerlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
12º
12º
23
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 40 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 37 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 37 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 33 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
64.5% | 34% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
35.5% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BRU
4 - 1
DEN
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 1
DEN
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 1
LEU
29%
25%
47%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
KVC
2 - 0
DEN
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
ZUL
2 - 1
DEN
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
KVC Westerlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
AND
4 - 1
KVC
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
KVC
2 - 2
GEN
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KVC
4 - 0
KVK
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
KVC
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
KVC
2 - 0
DEN
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |