FCV Dender vs Heist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
KNO
5 - 0
DEN
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DEN
0 - 2
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 1
DEN
51%
23%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
OUD
2 - 2
DEN
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 1
SER
28%
25%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
HEI
2 - 2
GEE
62%
20%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DES
3 - 0
HEI
51%
22%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HEI
0 - 1
DEI
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VWH
0 - 3
HEI
20%
21%
59%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HEI
1 - 1
EXC
66%
18%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |