FCV Dender vs Heist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DEN
1 - 2
PAT
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VWH
1 - 3
DEN
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
DEN
0 - 0
SER
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SPR
1 - 2
DEN
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DEN
2 - 0
EXC
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 2
HEI
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 1
GEE
44%
23%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OUD
2 - 1
HEI
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 0
DES
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +3 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DEI
0 - 5
HEI
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |