FCV Dender vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BXB
0 - 3
DEN
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 0
DEN
28%
25%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
DEN
3 - 0
GEA
68%
20%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HUY
0 - 1
DEN
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DEN
1 - 2
CHA
64%
20%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
WOL
0 - 3
EXC
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
4 - 1
LAC
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CIN
0 - 7
EXC
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
BER
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TIE
1 - 1
EXC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |