FCV Dender vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
1 - 1
DEN
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 3
SDL
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 3
GEN
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
SDL
3 - 0
DEN
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
DEN
2 - 1
ZUL
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
EXC
3 - 1
KVM
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
TUB
1 - 2
EXC
35%
27%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 0
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
KSV
2 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 0
CER
37%
26%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |