FCV Dender vs Club Brugge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
14º
14º
13
2º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 57 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 49 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 49 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 49 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 40 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 39 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 38 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 31 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 30 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3% | 69% |
|
Next round
|
34% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
63% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 3
DEN
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
4 - 1
KVK
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 2
DEN
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 0
UNI
19%
22%
59%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 3
LOU
52%
23%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Club Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 0
ANT
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GNK
3 - 2
BRU
46%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BRU
3 - 2
DEI
64%
21%
16%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SDL
1 - 0
BRU
25%
25%
51%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
KVM
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |