FCV Dender vs KAS Eupen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BOU
3 - 2
DEN
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
ANT
0 - 1
DEN
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
KVS
1 - 0
DEN
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
DEN
3 - 3
TUR
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
DEN
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
KAS Eupen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
EUP
1 - 1
OOS
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
LEU
3 - 1
EUP
44%
26%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BOU
0 - 0
EUP
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
EUP
1 - 0
TUB
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
EUP
2 - 1
TUR
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |