Denbigh Town vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CPD
2 - 1
DEN
6%
11%
83%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
DEN
4 - 1
CAE
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BUC
3 - 0
DEN
37%
22%
41%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FLI
2 - 1
DEN
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
AAA
0 - 1
DEN
20%
18%
62%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 1
LLA
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 0
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 3
CPD
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PRE
0 - 1
HOL
7%
14%
79%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 6
HOL
4%
13%
82%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |