Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 0
CAE
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MOL
2 - 1
DEN
60%
19%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
AIR
7 - 0
DEN
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
LLW
3 - 1
DEN
10%
13%
77%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 2
CPD
59%
20%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 4
GRE
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FMC
1 - 0
GRE
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 0
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 4
AIR
13%
18%
69%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
LLW
82%
12%
7%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |