Denbigh Town vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
65.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DEN
6 - 2
LLA
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
DEN
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
6 - 5
BUC
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CPC
2 - 4
DEN
7%
11%
82%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
2 - 0
AIR
29%
23%
49%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FLI
1 - 0
AIR
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 4
FLI
10%
18%
72%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FLI
1 - 1
HOL
43%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FLI
3 - 2
CAE
82%
13%
6%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
FLI
3 - 0
GRE
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |