Denbigh Town vs Chirk AAA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AIR
3 - 1
DEN
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
DEN
4 - 3
PRE
70%
16%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 2
GUI
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 2
DEN
32%
24%
45%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
DEN
3 - 1
POR
81%
11%
8%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AAA
1 - 4
MOL
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 1
AAA
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AAA
0 - 3
PRE
20%
18%
62%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AAA
1 - 2
RTW
22%
22%
57%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FLI
3 - 0
AAA
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | 0 |