Denbigh Town vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.8%
12.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BUC
3 - 0
DEN
37%
22%
41%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FLI
2 - 1
DEN
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
AAA
0 - 1
DEN
20%
18%
62%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 5
CON
10%
18%
72%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
DEN
6 - 1
LUF
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 1
LLA
9%
18%
73%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 3
GUI
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
NEW
5%
12%
83%
|
25 | 64 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 1
FLI
8%
16%
76%
|
25 | 59 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAE
49%
24%
26%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |