Den Amstel vs Monedderlust analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Amstel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
DAM
2 - 2
ANG
71%
16%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
WTI
4 - 2
DAM
52%
21%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
DAM
4 - 1
BUX
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DAM
2 - 0
GUY
36%
21%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DAM
0 - 3
SLI
44%
21%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Monedderlust
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
BUX
1 - 2
MON
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
ANG
44%
21%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
BUX
52%
22%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
6 - 0
MON
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
MON
0 - 11
GUY
23%
19%
58%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |