Democrata SL vs Nacional AC MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 0
AYM
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
DEM
76%
18%
7%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BET
1 - 0
DEM
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 1
REA
30%
28%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 1
BET
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
BET
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TUP
0 - 4
NAC
37%
27%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
TUP
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BET
1 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
27%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEM
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |