Democrata GV vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 0
DEM
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
DEM
1 - 2
BOA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 0
DEM
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
CRZ
7 - 0
DEM
94%
5%
1%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 0
AMF
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
AME
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 2
SOC
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 1
VIL
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 2
UBE
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |