Mineiro 1 Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Democrata GV vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 4
DEM
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DEM
3 - 1
CRZ
5%
14%
82%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
AMF
1 - 1
DEM
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DEM
5 - 0
USC
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 0
DEM
85%
12%
4%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 4
DEM
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 1
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 3
ATM
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
UBE
0 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CAL
4 - 0
VIL
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |