Democrata GV vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 1
DEM
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BOA
2 - 0
DEM
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
20%
71%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
DEM
3 - 2
SOC
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TRI
0 - 2
DEM
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 2
AMF
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 1
TOM
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 0
TUP
83%
13%
4%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TUP
0 - 1
PAY
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 1
TUP
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |