Democrata GV vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 1
DEM
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
POA
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
DEM
79%
16%
5%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEM
45%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 1
ATH
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 1
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
CRB
2 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALA
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
FPI
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 1
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |