Democrata GV vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
IFC
4 - 3
DEM
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DEM
2 - 1
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 0
DEM
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 3
CRZ
11%
24%
66%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
POA
1 - 0
DEM
33%
24%
44%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
POA
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 2
PAT
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
4 - 0
PAT
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
IFC
36%
24%
39%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CRZ
3 - 0
PAT
84%
13%
4%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | -1 |