Democrata GV vs Nacional EC MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
DEM
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
DEM
1 - 1
CAL
46%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DEM
0 - 2
CRZ
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
USC
5 - 0
DEM
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
3 - 0
DEM
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ATM
4 - 2
NEC
89%
9%
3%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
NEC
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 5
AMF
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 4
CRZ
10%
17%
73%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |