Democrata GV vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
USC
2 - 1
DEM
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
DEM
4 - 2
SOC
50%
23%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
DEM
1 - 2
CRZ
11%
19%
70%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BOA
3 - 0
DEM
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
DEM
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ATM
2 - 3
GUA
86%
10%
3%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOA
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEM
53%
23%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 0
VIL
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
USC
3 - 3
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |