Democrata GV vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
6%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
20.6%
74.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
24.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
29.6%
0-2
20.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.2%
-2
23.8%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 1
SAN
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 1
DEM
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
POA
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
DEM
79%
16%
5%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEM
45%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
ATM
3 - 1
CAR
86%
11%
4%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ATM
1 - 1
AMF
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
ATM
9%
21%
70%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
PAT
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 40 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATM
15%
24%
62%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |