Democrata GV vs América TO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 3
DEM
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TUP
1 - 0
DEM
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
DEM
0 - 0
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TOM
2 - 0
DEM
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DEM
2 - 3
ATM
6%
15%
79%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
América TO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TOM
2 - 0
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AME
0 - 2
AMF
10%
19%
72%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
URT
1 - 1
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AME
0 - 1
CRZ
6%
17%
77%
|
42 | 85 | 43 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
UBE
3 - 0
AME
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |