Delta Porto Tolle vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
REA
1 - 0
DEL
49%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DEL
0 - 0
CUN
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PER
0 - 1
DEL
47%
25%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
DEL
1 - 1
SAS
39%
25%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
DEL
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ASD
0 - 3
SPA
16%
20%
63%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 2
USA
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 2
FCC
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAS
2 - 2
SPA
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |