Delta Porto Tolle vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 3
DEL
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
DEL
1 - 1
BV5
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 1
DEL
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ISC
2 - 1
DEL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
DEL
56%
22%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
RIM
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CUN
0 - 1
SAN
66%
22%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |